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29 September 2026 2518 stories tracked

Glossary · Satellites & Orbit

Kessler syndrome

The runaway scenario where collisions in orbit generate debris that causes more collisions.

Donald Kessler argued in 1978 that above a certain density of objects in low Earth orbit, collisions would produce fragments faster than atmospheric drag removed them, and the debris population would grow on its own regardless of anything launched afterwards. Two events did most of the damage so far: a Chinese anti-satellite test in 2007 and the Iridium–Cosmos collision in 2009, which together roughly doubled the tracked debris in their altitude band. Fragments travel at several kilometres a second, so a centimetre of aluminium carries the energy of a hand grenade. The consequence is not a Hollywood cascade in an afternoon but a slow closing-off of specific altitudes over decades.

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What is Kessler syndrome?

The runaway scenario where collisions in orbit generate debris that causes more collisions.

Why does it matter?

Fragments travel at several kilometres a second, so a centimetre of aluminium carries the energy of a hand grenade. The consequence is not a Hollywood cascade in an afternoon but a slow closing-off of specific altitudes over decades.